10

Hanksdiviningrod

5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 92

Laurel Park · Race 3 - Allowance · 1m 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Laurel Park 25/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 88 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark25/05/2025 · OR 88 par25/05C5OR 88C5 @ Laurel Park 07/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 86 · 5f110y Fm 123 · below its mark07/11/2025 · OR 86 parC5 @ Laurel Park 06/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 70 · 6f 123 · below its mark06/02/2026 · OR 70 par6/02C5OR 70C5 @ Laurel Park 19/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 65 · 1m110y Fm 123 · beat its mark19/04/2026 · OR 65 parC5 @ Laurel Park 12/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 64 · 1m Fm 123 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 64 par12/06C5OR 64C7 @ Laurel Park 27/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 82 · 1m Fm 123 · below its mark27/06/2026 · OR 82 parC5 @ Delaware Park 10/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 97 · 1m110y 120 · below its mark10/07/2026 · OR 97 par10/07C5OR 97C6 @ Delaware Park 24/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 91 · 1m110y 120 · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 91 parC0 @ Delaware Park 11/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m70y Fm 12011/09C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Delaware Park?5th5th0
2026-07-24Delaware Park?3rd4th−1
2026-07-10Delaware Park?4th4th0
2026-06-27Laurel Park?2nd4th−2
2026-06-12Laurel Park?5th5th0
2026-04-19Laurel Park?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0519/0410/0711/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength62%

Delivery trend +0.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/05/20257th12/137%14%-0.23
07/11/20257th33/10%45%+0.45
06/02/20267th40/10%0%0.00
19/04/20267th12/137%45%+0.09
12/06/20265th20/10%33%+0.33
27/06/20262nd10/147%83%+0.36
10/07/20264th9/153%40%-0.13
24/07/20263rd9/153%71%+0.19
11/09/20265th9/153%56%+0.03