7
Orator
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 89
Laurel Park · Race 3 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
11%
Place Prob
19%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: -1.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-08-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-06-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2026-05-30 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-10-05 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength98%
Delivery trend +7.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 23/07/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 86% | +0.03 |
| 31/08/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |
| 05/10/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 30/05/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 38% | -0.28 |
| 26/06/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 31/07/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 13/08/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 28/08/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |