8
Pendar
3yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 94
Laurel Park · Race 3 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-11-08 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-07-30 | Colonial Downs | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength31%
Delivery trend -4.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 30% | +0.04 |
| 08/11/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 12/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 09/07/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 27/08/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |