1
Se Thar Barr
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 90
Laurel Park · Race 3 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength4%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 18/10/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 17/04/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 15/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 92% | +0.24 |
| 12/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 28/06/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 30/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |
| 13/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 78% | +0.15 |
| 05/09/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 89% | +0.52 |