12

Sun Above

3yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 98

Laurel Park · Race 3 - Allowance · 1m 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

5%

Place Prob

13%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Laurel Park 04/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m Fm 1224/10C6C5 @ Aqueduct 07/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 93 · 1m110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/11/2025 · OR 93 par7/11C5OR 93C5 @ Colonial Downs 26/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 99 · 1m 118 · below its mark26/06/2026 · OR 99 par26/06C5OR 99C5 @ Colonial Downs 30/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 102 · 1m Fm 118 · below its mark30/07/2026 · OR 102 par30/07C5OR 102projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-30Colonial Downs?3rd3rd0
2026-06-26Colonial Downs?2nd2nd0
2025-11-07Aqueduct?6th5th+1
2025-10-04Laurel Park?1st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/107/1126/0630/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength51%

Delivery trend -16.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/10/20251st8/158%100%+0.42
07/11/20256th16/116%29%+0.13
26/06/20262nd9/153%88%+0.35
30/07/20263rd7/491%71%-0.19