6

In Honor Of Jeff

3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 71

Laurel Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Laurel Park 04/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 69 · 6f Fas 122 · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 69 par4/10C9OR 69C8 @ Laurel Park 09/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 67 · 6f Fas 122 · below its mark09/11/2025 · OR 67 parC8 @ Laurel Park 12/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 60 · 6f 121 · below its mark12/02/2026 · OR 60 par12/02C8OR 60C8 @ Laurel Park 08/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 62 · 6f 121 · below its mark08/03/2026 · OR 62 parC8 @ Laurel Park 28/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 67 · 1m 121 · below its mark28/03/2026 · OR 67 par28/03C8OR 67C8 @ Laurel Park 25/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 68 · 6f Fas 117 · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 68 parC8 @ Laurel Park 07/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 66 · 6f Fas 119 · beat its mark07/06/2026 · OR 66 par7/06C8OR 66C8 @ Colonial Downs 13/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 69 · 6f Gd 118 · below its mark13/07/2026 · OR 69 parC7 @ Laurel Park 13/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 71 · 1m 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/09/2026 · OR 71 par13/09C7OR 71projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Laurel Park?7th6th+1
2026-07-13Colonial Downs?2nd2nd0
2026-06-07Laurel Park?1st1st0
2026-04-25Laurel Park?3rd3rd0
2026-03-28Laurel Park?5th5th0
2026-03-08Laurel Park?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/108/037/0613/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength60%

Delivery trend +6.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/10/20251st11/893%100%+0.07
09/11/20255th8/158%20%-0.38
12/02/20263rd5/174%67%-0.07
08/03/20266th16/116%29%+0.13
28/03/20265th12/137%33%-0.04
25/04/20263rd8/158%60%+0.02
07/06/20261st20/10%100%+1.00
13/07/20262nd10/147%80%+0.33
13/09/20267th20/10%0%0.00