Mister Roscoe
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 86
Laurel Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
20%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-06-06 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-04-17 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +10.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 27/02/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 08/03/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 20/03/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |
| 17/04/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 57% | -0.03 |
| 21/05/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 06/06/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 28/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |