Poor Peanut
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 76
Laurel Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
40%
Place Prob
29%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-08-06 | Penn National | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-06-05 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-05-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-04-17 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -10.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 17/04/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 14/05/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 05/06/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 28/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 06/08/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 19/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |