Sometime
3yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 81
Laurel Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Colonial Downs | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Penn National | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-13 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Keeneland | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/01/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 07/03/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 27/03/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 24/04/2026 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 13/07/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 43% | -0.41 |
| 06/08/2026 | 7th | 13/8 | 91% | 14% | -0.77 |
| 05/09/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 10% | -0.16 |