5
Awesome Czech
5yo Mare · 8-8 · OR 110
Laurel Park · Race 6 - All Along Stakes · 1m 1f
#4
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 1st | +4 |
| 2026-01-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-27 | Churchill Downs | BHA101 | 2nd | 9th | −6 |
| 2025-10-25 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength56%
Delivery trend -5.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 22/08/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 14/09/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |
| 25/10/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 27/11/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 90% | +0.37 |
| 24/01/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 78% | +0.04 |
| 16/05/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 29% | -0.56 |
| 17/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 30/08/2026 | 4th | 11/10 | 94% | 57% | -0.37 |