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8

Grayosh

5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 105

Laurel Park · Race 6 - All Along Stakes · 1m 1f

#3

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

15%

Place Prob

23%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength99%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.2 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.2
Today:
Class gap: +2.3
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Belmont At The Big A 13/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 106 · 1m1f Fm 124 · below its mark13/06/2025 · OR 106 par13/06C6OR 106C1 @ Monmouth Park 19/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 107 · 1m1f Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/07/2025 · OR 107 parC5 @ Kentucky Downs 04/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 98 · 1m70y 126 · below its mark04/09/2025 · OR 98 par4/09C5OR 98C6 @ Belmont At The Big A 02/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 102 · 1m110y Fm 122 · below its mark02/10/2025 · OR 102 parC1 @ Aqueduct 08/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 100 · 1m3f Fm 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/11/2025 · OR 100 par8/11C1OR 100C6 @ Aqueduct 24/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 108 · 1m Fm 121 · beat its mark24/04/2026 · OR 108 parC1 @ Monmouth Park 13/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 110 · 1m110y Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 110 par13/06C1OR 110C1 @ Monmouth Park 18/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 108 · 1m1f Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 108 parC0 @ Saratoga 22/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 103 · 1m110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 103 par22/08C?OR 103projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Saratoga?4th-1th+4
2026-07-18Monmouth Park?1st-4th+4
2026-06-13Monmouth Park?3rd-2th+4
2026-04-24Aqueduct?1st2nd−1
2025-11-08Aqueduct?4th-1th+4
2025-10-02Belmont At The Big A?4th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/062/1013/0622/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +7.5% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/06/20254th6/492%25%-0.67
19/07/20253rd15/261%67%+0.06
04/09/20254th4/179%50%-0.29
02/10/20254th6/492%57%-0.35
08/11/20254th5/287%67%-0.20
24/04/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
13/06/20263rd15/261%60%-0.01
18/07/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
22/08/20264th9/153%50%-0.03