4
No More Calls
3yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 84
Laurel Park · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
16%
Place Prob
26%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-08-20 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Colonial Downs | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-31 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength24%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 10/04/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 01/05/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/05/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 31/05/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 21/06/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 18/07/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/08/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 12/09/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |