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7

Cherokee Purple

2yo Filly · 8-5 · OR 91

Laurel Park · Race 8 - Selima Stakes · 1m 110y

#8

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Colonial Downs 11/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m Fm 11911/07C6C6 @ Colonial Downs 31/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 84 · 1m Fm 119 · below its mark31/07/2026 · OR 84 par31/07C6OR 84C6 @ Kentucky Downs 29/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 87 · 1m Fm 119 · below its mark29/08/2026 · OR 87 par29/08C6OR 87projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Kentucky Downs?2nd4th−2
2026-07-31Colonial Downs?3rd5th−2
2026-07-11Colonial Downs?3rd5th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0731/0729/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +18.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/07/20263rd15/261%67%+0.06
31/07/20263rd5/174%75%+0.01
29/08/20262nd10/147%91%+0.44