3
Gypsy Lullaby
2yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 74
Laurel Park · Race 8 - Selima Stakes · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲1
Strength3%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 2.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-07-24 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-06-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-05-22 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength97%
Delivery trend +24.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 12/06/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 15/08/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 29/08/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |