4
Moneta Agenda
2yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 60
Laurel Park · Race 9 - Laurel Futurity · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +40.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 06/06/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 22/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 16/08/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 29/08/2026 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |