5

Je Suis Celebre

4yo Gelding · 11-7

Listowel · John Lynch Memorial Maiden Hurdle · 2m

#9

Rank

Odds

17/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed ability on the Flat and looked set to place on debut for this yard when falling 3 out in maiden hurdle at Killarney last month, only a length down in second at the time. That form has since been boosted by the winner and third this week, and a clear round should see him involved.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength44%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.9
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Wolverhampton 02/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 7f36y Std 142 · HIGHER CLASS2/0144 @ Kempton 07/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 7f Sta 138 · HIGHER CLASS7/014C8 @ Dundalk 20/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 7f Std 13520/02C8C8 @ Limerick 25/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR 73 · 1m50y Yie 135 · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 73 par25/04C8OR 73BHA71 @ Fairyhouse 28/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR 71 · 1m1f210y Gd 141 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/05/2026 · OR 71 par28/0571OR 71C8 @ Bellewstown 03/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR 67 · 7f195y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/07/2026 · OR 67 par3/07C8OR 67projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Killarney?0
2026-07-03Bellewstown?8th7th+1
2026-05-28FairyhouseBHA7111th10th+1
2026-04-25Limerick?8th8th0
2026-02-20Dundalk?5th5th0
2026-01-07Kempton42nd-3th+4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/017/0120/0225/0428/053/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength97%

Delivery trend +1.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/01/20264th66/10%50%+0.50
07/01/20262nd6/168%86%+0.17
20/02/20265th11/893%56%-0.37
25/04/20268th16/116%50%+0.34
28/05/202611th20/10%33%+0.33
03/07/20268th16/116%50%+0.34