2
Dad Sez
6yo Gelding · 11-5
Listowel · Allman Contracts Novice Hurdle · 2m 4f
#5
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Kilbeggan | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-29 | Galway | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 5-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength20%
Delivery trend -59.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 79% | +0.63 |
| 21/08/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |