3
Roc Dino
5yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 125
Listowel · Allman Contracts Novice Hurdle · 2m 4f
#2
Rank
Odds
8/13
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#2
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength21%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Galway | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Downpatrick | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-13 | Cheltenham | 2 | 10th | 3rd | +6 |
| 2026-01-29 | Thurles | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-01-15 | Fairyhouse | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-02-15 | Auteuil | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength99%
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/12/2024 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 12/01/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 92% | +0.16 |
| 15/02/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 15/01/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 93% | +0.01 |
| 29/01/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 94% | +0.10 |
| 13/03/2026 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 61% | +0.19 |
| 08/05/2026 | 1st | 1/8 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 30/07/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |