5
Feud
6yo Gelding · 10-11 · OR 125
Listowel · M.J. Carroll ARRO Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f
#12
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C11.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Killarney | BHA126 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-18 | Thurles | BHA126 | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-27 | Leopardstown | BHA129 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Fairyhouse | BHA131 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Listowel | BHA132 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Newton Abbot | 2 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength65%
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/2024 | 1st | 16/5 | 83% | 100% | +0.17 |
| 03/07/2025 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 15/07/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 30/07/2025 | 12th | 7/1 | 63% | 35% | -0.28 |
| 08/08/2025 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 89% | +0.47 |
| 27/09/2025 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 29/11/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 27/12/2025 | 16th | 33/1 | 0% | 6% | +0.06 |
| 20/08/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 56% | +0.13 |