Give Him A Chance
7yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 116
Listowel · M.J. Carroll ARRO Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f
#10
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 6.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-21 | Limerick | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Kilbeggan | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-17 | Wexford | BHA116 | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-22 | Naas | BHA110 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-29 | Leopardstown | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Navan | BHA110 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 58% | -0.15 |
| 23/08/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 26/09/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 87% | +0.18 |
| 15/11/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 14/12/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 78% | +0.07 |
| 29/12/2025 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 22/02/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 24/04/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 45% | +0.09 |
| 21/05/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |