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6

Ifiwerearichman

8yo Gelding · 10-11 · OR 125

Listowel · M.J. Carroll ARRO Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f

#6

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Low-mileage sort who arrives in very good form, suffering a troubled passage when eighth of 20 in handicap hurdle at Galway (2¾m, good to soft) last month. Needs treating as though still in form so weighted to go very well.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA121 @ Wexford 31/05/2023 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 121 · 2m1f100y Goo 159 · below its mark31/05/2023 · OR 121 par31/05121OR 121BHA121 @ Bellewstown 08/07/2023 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 121 · 2m188y Gd 151 · below its mark08/07/2023 · OR 121 parBHA122 @ Galway 04/08/2023 · Pos 1st of 20 · OR 122 · 2m11y Gd 152 · beat its mark04/08/2023 · OR 122 par4/08122OR 122C0 @ Wexford 28/10/2024 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 2m Sft 166C8 @ Punchestown 10/12/2024 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 2m98y Yie 15910/12C81 @ Wexford 27/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 137 · 2m7f Goo 154 · below its mark27/10/2025 · OR 137 parBHA125 @ Wexford 27/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 125 · 2m1f Goo 163 · below its mark27/05/2026 · OR 125 par27/05125OR 125BHA125 @ Bellewstown 04/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR 125 · 2m1f40y Gd 164 · below its mark04/07/2026 · OR 125 par1 @ Galway 01/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 20 · OR 125 · 2m6f108y Goo 151 · below its mark01/08/2026 · OR 125 par1/081OR 125projClass-projected finish: 9th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-01Galway18th8th0
2026-07-04BellewstownBHA1256th6th0
2026-05-27WexfordBHA1253rd3rd0
2025-11-29Fairyhouse10
2025-10-27Wexford13rd3rd0
2025-01-12Punchestown10

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0528/1027/051/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend +1.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/05/20234th9/488%50%-0.38
08/07/20234th6/168%70%+0.02
04/08/20231st28/10%100%+1.00
28/10/20243rd80/10%83%+0.83
10/12/20241st11/271%100%+0.29
27/10/20253rd33/10%33%+0.33
27/05/20263rd12/137%67%+0.30
04/07/20266th17/255%67%+0.11
01/08/20268th11/142%63%+0.21