3

Londonofficecallin

9yo Gelding · 10-12 · OR 126

Listowel · M.J. Carroll ARRO Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f

#5

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Posted a career best when winning 14-runner handicap hurdle at Killarney (2¾m, good to soft) 35 days ago. Not out of things despite a 6 lb weights rise.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength38%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C9.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA73 @ Fairyhouse 09/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 73 · 1m6f Gd 127 · beat its mark09/07/2025 · OR 73 par9/0773OR 733 @ Wolverhampton 31/07/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 85 · 1m5f219y Std 133 · beat its mark31/07/2025 · OR 85 parBHA84 @ Leopardstown 19/10/2025 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR 84 · 1m4f Hvy 130 · below its mark19/10/2025 · OR 84 par19/1084OR 84BHA83 @ Cork 03/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 83 · 1m4f30y Sft 123 · beat its mark03/05/2026 · OR 83 parC0 @ Kilbeggan 31/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 2m4f80y Goo 16631/05C?C0 @ Kilbeggan 15/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 2m4f Goo 166C8 @ Wexford 30/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 117 · 2m3f110y Goo 159 · below its mark30/06/2026 · OR 117 par30/06C8OR 117BHA87 @ Ballinrobe 20/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 87 · 1m4f179y Goo 140 · below its mark20/07/2026 · OR 87 parBHA120 @ Killarney 22/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 120 · 2m6f80y Goo 154 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 120 par22/08120OR 120projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22KillarneyBHA1201st1st0
2026-07-20BallinrobeBHA874th4th0
2026-06-30Wexford?5th5th0
2026-06-15Kilbeggan?2nd2nd0
2026-05-31Kilbeggan?5th5th0
2026-05-03CorkBHA831st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/073/0530/0622/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength39%

Delivery trend +3.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/07/20251st9/488%100%+0.12
31/07/20259th10/382%27%-0.55
19/10/202515th12/137%7%-0.30
03/05/20261st40/10%100%+1.00
31/05/20265th10/382%56%-0.27
15/06/20262nd8/158%91%+0.33
30/06/20265th11/271%56%-0.15
20/07/20264th5/174%63%-0.11
22/08/20261st8/158%100%+0.42