Luck Between Us
6yo Gelding · 10-3 · OR 117
Listowel · M.J. Carroll ARRO Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Ballinrobe | BHA111 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Sligo | BHA108 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Killarney | BHA99 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-28 | Limerick | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Cork | BHA105 | 19th | 19th | 0 |
| 2025-11-20 | Thurles | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +7.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 05/09/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 36% | -0.00 |
| 24/10/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 20/11/2025 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 29% | +0.23 |
| 07/12/2025 | 19th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 28/12/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 16/07/2026 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 19/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 90% | +0.27 |
| 11/09/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |