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21

Barryroe Madam

7yo Mare · 11-3 · OR 87

Listowel · Kathleen Walsh Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 6f

#17

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#17

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sole win came in handicap at this course (23f) in May last year when trained by Brian McMahon. Best effort for current yard when making the frame at Wexford in July and bounced back from a below-par run when fifth of 19 at Galway 19 days ago. RESERVE.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 9.8 /10 (raw 7.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA96 @ Tipperary 06/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR 96 · 2m7f60y Goo 165 · below its mark06/10/2025 · OR 96 par6/1096OR 96BHA95 @ Galway 25/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR 95 · 3m Yie 163 · below its mark25/10/2025 · OR 95 parBHA96 @ Cork 23/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR 96 · 3m40y Yie 152 · below its mark23/11/2025 · OR 96 par23/1196OR 96BHA96 @ Limerick 16/04/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 96 · 2m50y Sft 166 · below its mark16/04/2026 · OR 96 parBHA95 @ Cork 10/05/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR 95 · 2m3f50y Goo 151 · below its mark10/05/2026 · OR 95 par10/0595OR 95BHA93 @ Limerick 28/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 93 · 2m6f Sft 161 · below its mark28/05/2026 · OR 93 parBHA90 @ Wexford 23/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 90 · 3m Gd 158 · below its mark23/07/2026 · OR 90 par23/0790OR 90BHA90 @ Ballinrobe 24/08/2026 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR 90 · 2m6f61y Gd 159 · below its mark24/08/2026 · OR 90 parBHA88 @ Galway 07/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 19 · OR 88 · 2m6f97y Yie 157 · below its mark07/09/2026 · OR 88 par7/0988OR 88projClass-projected finish: 10th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07GalwayBHA885th5th0
2026-08-24BallinrobeBHA9014th14th0
2026-07-23WexfordBHA904th4th0
2026-05-28LimerickBHA9310th10th0
2026-05-10CorkBHA9513th13th0
2026-04-16LimerickBHA9613th13th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/1016/0423/077/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1719% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength66%

Delivery trend +2.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/10/20257th11/142%57%+0.15
25/10/20253rd15/261%87%+0.26
23/11/202511th14/126%29%+0.02
16/04/202613th16/116%8%-0.08
10/05/202613th28/10%14%+0.14
28/05/202610th16/116%25%+0.09
23/07/20264th6/168%75%+0.07
24/08/202614th12/137%13%-0.24
07/09/20265th22/10%78%+0.78