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14

Doesthatmakesense

5yo Mare · 10-10 · OR 80

Listowel · Kathleen Walsh Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 6f

#12

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has offered little in a bumper and a trio of maiden hurdles, upped to this trip when tenth of 12 at Ballinrobe last month. Blinkers reached for as she goes handicapping.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 10.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Killarney 11/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 2m1f Goo 16111/05C?C8 @ Kilbeggan 24/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 2m2f200y Gd 15124/07C8C8 @ Ballinrobe 24/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 2m6f61y Gd 15324/08C8projClass-projected finish: 15th of 17
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-24Ballinrobe?10th10th0
2026-07-24Kilbeggan?10th10th0
2026-05-28Limerick?0
2026-05-11Killarney?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0524/0724/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1731% of fieldRange 7-17 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength29%

Delivery trend +4.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/05/202610th33/10%10%+0.10
24/07/202610th200/10%36%+0.36
24/08/202610th250/10%18%+0.18