17
Lake Okeechobee
5yo Mare · 10-6 · OR 76
Listowel · Kathleen Walsh Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 6f
#14
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 10.3)
Highest class: BHA76
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Killarney | BHA76 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Sligo | BHA77 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Limerick | BHA77 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Clonmel | BHA80 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2026-02-03 | Fairyhouse | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2025-10-05 | Killarney | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1756% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +7.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/2025 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 25/09/2025 | 14th | 150/1 | 0% | 24% | +0.24 |
| 05/10/2025 | 8th | 200/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 03/02/2026 | 15th | 400/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/03/2026 | 16th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/05/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 09/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 22/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |