12
Laligurash
4yo Gelding · 10-13 · OR 86
Listowel · Kathleen Walsh Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Killarney | BHA83 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Kilbeggan | BHA85 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Clonmel | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Ballinrobe | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Cork | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1781% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +13.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 26/05/2026 | 7th | 150/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 05/06/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 24/07/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 22/08/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |