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7yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 96

Listowel · Kathleen Walsh Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

12%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Doubled his tally over hurdles when keeping on well to score at Tramore (2m) in May. Has had a spell back on the Flat since, shaping well when third at Navan (2m) early this month and not discredited when fifth of 15 here (1¾m) 5 days ago. Up in trip in this sphere.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength30%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 7.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA96 @ Clonmel 02/12/2025 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR 96 · 2m3f97y Hvy 164 · below its mark02/12/2025 · OR 96 par2/1296OR 96BHA93 @ Gowran Park 07/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 93 · 2m50y Hvy 150 · below its mark07/03/2026 · OR 93 parBHA90 @ Tramore 20/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR 90 · 2m80y Goo 158 · below its mark20/04/2026 · OR 90 par20/0490OR 90BHA91 @ Wexford 16/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 91 · 2m1f Goo 159 · below its mark16/05/2026 · OR 91 parBHA90 @ Tramore 30/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 90 · 2m50y Goo 158 · beat its mark30/05/2026 · OR 90 par30/0590OR 90BHA68 @ Tramore 07/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 68 · 2m Goo 136 · below its mark07/07/2026 · OR 68 parBHA67 @ Gowran Park 07/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 67 · 1m4f100y Goo 158 · below its mark07/08/2026 · OR 67 par7/0867OR 67BHA65 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR 65 · 2m Goo 155 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 65 parBHA68 @ Listowel 21/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR 68 · 1m6f55y Yie 138 · beat its mark21/09/2026 · OR 68 par21/0968OR 68projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21ListowelBHA685th5th0
2026-09-02NavanBHA653rd3rd0
2026-08-07Gowran ParkBHA674th4th0
2026-07-07TramoreBHA685th5th0
2026-05-30TramoreBHA901st1st0
2026-05-16WexfordBHA9111th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/1216/057/0821/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1794% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/12/202511th28/10%33%+0.33
07/03/20267th22/10%40%+0.40
20/04/20262nd17/255%93%+0.38
16/05/202611th11/271%17%-0.54
30/05/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
07/07/20265th11/142%60%+0.18
07/08/20264th15/261%63%+0.02
02/09/20263rd28/10%87%+0.87
21/09/20265th14/126%71%+0.45