7
Oogum Boogum
8yo Gelding · 11-6 · OR 90
Listowel · Kathleen Walsh Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Wexford | BHA82 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Roscommon | BHA83 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Wexford | BHA84 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Killarney | BHA84 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Clonmel | BHA90 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Wexford | BHA90 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1725% of fieldRange 17-17 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -14.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 13th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 87% | +0.71 |
| 02/05/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 76% | +0.76 |
| 13/05/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 27/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 85% | +0.21 |
| 05/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 93% | +0.17 |
| 17/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 22/07/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 04/08/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 28/08/2026 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |