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10

Roll It Roisin

5yo Mare · 11-1 · OR 85

Listowel · Kathleen Walsh Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 6f

#10

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Making her third start in maiden hurdles, showed a bit more than previously when fifth of 11 at Kilbeggan (19f) 23 days ago. Remains capable of better as she goes up in trip for handicap debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 8.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Killarney 16/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 2m4f85y Goo 15116/07C8C8 @ Ballinrobe 24/08/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 2m2f44y Gd 15924/08C8C8 @ Kilbeggan 03/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 2m3f Goo 1593/09C8projClass-projected finish: 12th of 17
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Kilbeggan?5th5th0
2026-08-24Ballinrobe?13th13th0
2026-07-16Killarney?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0724/083/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1769% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength68%

Delivery trend +17.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/07/20267th100/10%25%+0.25
24/08/202613th50/10%14%+0.14
03/09/20265th125/10%60%+0.60