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9

Rubi Tuesday

5yo Mare · 11-3 · OR 87

Listowel · Kathleen Walsh Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 6f

#9

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Only modest form over hurdles so far, going backwards from a recent run when tailed off in maiden at Wexford (2½m) in May. Absent 4 months since.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 7.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Listowel 26/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 2m Goo 16326/09C?C8 @ Cork 02/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 2m Yie 1542/11C8C8 @ Clonmel 02/12/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 2m110y Hvy 1592/12C8C8 @ Cork 03/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 17 · OR - · 2m190y Yie 1593/01C8C8 @ Limerick 10/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 92 · 1m7f150y Hvy 152 · below its mark10/02/2026 · OR 92 par10/02C8OR 92BHA90 @ Cork 10/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR 90 · 2m3f50y Goo 147 · below its mark10/05/2026 · OR 90 par10/0590OR 90C8 @ Wexford 16/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 89 · 2m4f Goo 161 · below its mark16/05/2026 · OR 89 par16/05C8OR 89projClass-projected finish: 11th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-16Wexford?9th9th0
2026-05-10CorkBHA906th6th0
2026-02-10Limerick?5th5th0
2026-01-03Cork?8th8th0
2025-12-02Clonmel?10th10th0
2025-11-02Cork?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/093/0116/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1738% of fieldRange 6-17 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength21%

Delivery trend -1.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 17.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/09/20257th11/142%60%+0.18
02/11/202510th80/10%31%+0.31
02/12/202510th12/137%31%-0.06
03/01/20268th20/10%56%+0.56
10/02/20265th25/10%43%+0.43
10/05/20266th40/10%64%+0.64
16/05/20269th8/158%27%-0.31