8
Scathach
6yo Mare · 11-4 · OR 88
Listowel · Kathleen Walsh Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 6f
#13
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | Cork | BHA89 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Kilbeggan | BHA90 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Sligo | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Wexford | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Naas | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-14 | Fairyhouse | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 1713% of fieldRange 8-17 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength1%
Delivery trend -7.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 15th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/12/2025 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 52% | +0.52 |
| 14/01/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 16/05/2026 | 8th | 10/3 | 82% | 36% | -0.46 |
| 09/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 10/07/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 03/08/2026 | 12th | 18/1 | 5% | 35% | +0.30 |