4
Torque De Lune
6yo Mare · 11-8 · OR 92
Listowel · Kathleen Walsh Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Wexford | BHA92 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Galway | BHA93 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Killarney | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-02 | Limerick | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Downpatrick | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Clonmel | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1763% of fieldRange 5-17 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength28%
Delivery trend -4.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/11/2025 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 20/12/2025 | 13th | 80/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 250/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 02/07/2026 | 3rd | 66/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 02/08/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 28/08/2026 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |