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9yo Mare · 11-7 · OR 91
Listowel · Kathleen Walsh Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
10%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 6.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Killarney | BHA87 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Killarney | BHA88 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Listowel | BHA92 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Killarney | BHA92 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-29 | Limerick | BHA94 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-18 | Limerick | BHA95 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 23/08/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 26/09/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 24/10/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 29/12/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 11/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 01/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 17/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 20/08/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 82% | +0.56 |