IvyArcIvyArc
7

A Penny A Hundred

7yo Mare · 11-1 · OR 128

Listowel · Charlie Chute Memorial Handicap Chase · 2m 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Just a maiden success to her name over fences but turned best effort in some time when chasing home Kings Hill in the Galway Blazers in July. Capable of being involved if building on that.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Thurles 19/01/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 128 · 2m4f189y Gd 152 · below its mark19/01/2025 · OR 128 par19/011OR 1281 @ Fairyhouse 22/02/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 128 · 2m5f173y Sft 149 · below its mark22/02/2025 · OR 128 par1 @ Cheltenham 17/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 133 · 2m4f127y Gd 168 · below its mark17/04/2025 · OR 133 par17/041OR 1331 @ Ballinrobe 26/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 132 · 2m7f72y Gd 160 · below its mark26/05/2025 · OR 132 parBHA132 @ Sligo 01/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 132 · 2m5f27y Yie 157 · below its mark01/10/2025 · OR 132 par1/10132OR 1321 @ Cork 02/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 131 · 3m4f Goo 165 · below its mark02/11/2025 · OR 131 par1 @ Newbury 29/11/2025 · Pos 12th of 24 · OR 131 · 3m1f214y GS 142 · below its mark29/11/2025 · OR 131 par29/111OR 131BHA127 @ Roscommon 08/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR 127 · 3m1f24y Sft 153 · below its mark08/06/2026 · OR 127 parBHA125 @ Galway 31/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 20 · OR 125 · 2m6f111y Goo 151 · below its mark31/07/2026 · OR 125 par31/07125OR 125projClass-projected finish: 4th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-31GalwayBHA1252nd2nd0
2026-06-08RoscommonBHA1277th7th0
2025-11-29Newbury112th12th0
2025-11-02Cork17th7th0
2025-10-01SligoBHA1324th4th0
2025-05-26Ballinrobe13rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0126/0529/1131/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +13.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/01/20254th10/382%25%-0.57
22/02/20253rd17/255%50%-0.05
17/04/20252nd6/168%83%+0.15
26/05/20253rd11/142%86%+0.44
01/10/20254th2/189%25%-0.64
02/11/20257th12/137%50%+0.13
29/11/202512th18/15%52%+0.47
08/06/20267th25/10%57%+0.57
31/07/20262nd33/10%95%+0.95