El Champo
8yo Gelding · 10-4 · OR 117
Listowel · Charlie Chute Memorial Handicap Chase · 2m 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | Punchestown | BHA118 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Punchestown | BHA109 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Fairyhouse | BHA110 | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-07 | Gowran Park | BHA121 | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-28 | Limerick | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-16 | Cheltenham | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +8.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/2025 | 10th | 6/1 | 68% | 10% | -0.58 |
| 30/07/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 84% | +0.84 |
| 14/08/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 27/09/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 19/10/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 16/11/2025 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 28/12/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 29/04/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 65% | +0.65 |
| 07/06/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |