IvyArcIvyArc
4

Pinot Gris

6yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 132

Listowel · Charlie Chute Memorial Handicap Chase · 2m 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

12%

Place Prob

16%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Stepped up on previous chasing efforts when winning 11-runner maiden at Wexford in July by 5½ lengths from Mickie Angel. Ran a cracker when chasing home Grann's Boy in a listed handicap hurdle at Galway next time but never looked like justifying support back off lower chase mark last time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA79 @ Curragh 29/06/2025 · Pos 12th of 25 · OR 79 · 2m Goo 119 · below its mark29/06/2025 · OR 79 par29/0679OR 79BHA79 @ Killarney 22/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 79 · 1m6f80y Gd 126 · below its mark22/08/2025 · OR 79 parBHA82 @ Naas 12/10/2025 · Pos 15th of 20 · OR 82 · 2m7y Yie 119 · below its mark12/10/2025 · OR 82 par12/1082OR 821 @ Leopardstown 01/02/2026 · Pos 12th of 19 · OR 140 · 2m Hvy 158 · below its mark01/02/2026 · OR 140 par1 @ Cheltenham 13/03/2026 · Pos 16th of 23 · OR 143 · 2m179y Goo 155 · below its mark13/03/2026 · OR 143 par13/031OR 143C0 @ Clonmel 14/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m7f131y Yie 166C0 @ Wexford 03/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 2m3f110y Gd 1663/07C?1 @ Galway 01/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 20 · OR 138 · 2m6f108y Goo 164 · below its mark01/08/2026 · OR 138 parBHA132 @ Kilbeggan 04/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 132 · 2m4f95y Goo 168 · below its mark04/09/2026 · OR 132 par4/09132OR 132projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04KilbegganBHA1325th5th0
2026-08-01Galway12nd2nd0
2026-07-03Wexford?1st1st0
2026-04-14Clonmel?4th4th0
2026-03-13Cheltenham116th16th0
2026-02-01Leopardstown112th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/061/023/074/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +4.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/06/202512th5/174%54%-0.20
22/08/20252nd4/179%89%+0.10
12/10/202515th12/137%26%-0.11
01/02/202612th80/10%39%+0.39
13/03/202616th40/10%32%+0.32
14/04/20264th2/189%63%-0.27
03/07/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
01/08/20262nd33/10%95%+0.95
04/09/20265th3/184%67%-0.18