5
Runcok
6yo Gelding · 11-3 · OR 130
Listowel · Charlie Chute Memorial Handicap Chase · 2m 6f
#13
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C10.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Ballinrobe | BHA130 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Galway | BHA133 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Ballinrobe | BHA135 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-08-25 | Ballinrobe | BHA138 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-07-31 | Galway | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-07-01 | Tipperary | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 6-13 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength4%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 13th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/02/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 06/04/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 02/05/2025 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 55% | -0.30 |
| 01/07/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 31/07/2025 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 25/08/2025 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 0% | -0.90 |
| 25/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 02/08/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 24/08/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |