12
Talk In The Park
8yo Gelding · 10-5 · OR 118
Listowel · Charlie Chute Memorial Handicap Chase · 2m 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
17/2
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#3
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C9.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Killarney | BHA120 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Galway | BHA123 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Roscommon | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-25 | Naas | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Fairyhouse | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Punchestown | BHA127 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength43%
Delivery trend -4.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 01/07/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 01/08/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 93% | +0.25 |
| 27/09/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 78% | +0.01 |
| 19/10/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 79% | +0.18 |
| 13/12/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 25/01/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 60% | +0.18 |
| 31/07/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 22/08/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 23% | -0.14 |