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10

West Away

8yo Gelding · 10-9 · OR 122

Listowel · Charlie Chute Memorial Handicap Chase · 2m 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Confirmed promise of stable debut when winning 6-runner maiden chase at Wexford in August by 4½ lengths from Jackson Lamb. Backed that up despite racing from 8 lb out of the handicap when 4¼ lengths third of 10 to Jalila Moriviere at Killarney last time. One to consider.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength17%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C10.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA120 @ Cork 20/04/2025 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR 120 · 2m3f Sft 152 · below its mark20/04/2025 · OR 120 par20/04120OR 120C0 @ Kilbeggan 16/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 2m4f51y Goo 166C0 @ Wexford 06/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 2m3f130y Goo 1666/08C?3 @ Cheltenham 25/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 129 · 2m4f44y Goo 158 · below its mark25/10/2025 · OR 129 parBHA118 @ Fairyhouse 29/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 20 · OR 118 · 2m4f110y Yie 154 · below its mark29/11/2025 · OR 118 par29/11118OR 118BHA121 @ Down Royal 26/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 121 · 2m4f130y Goo 166 · below its mark26/12/2025 · OR 121 parBHA118 @ Wexford 22/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 118 · 2m3f Gd 166 · below its mark22/07/2026 · OR 118 par22/07118OR 118BHA114 @ Wexford 08/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 114 · 2m3f20y Goo 166 · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 114 par1 @ Killarney 22/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 118 · 2m4f180y Goo 140 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 118 par22/081OR 118projClass-projected finish: 1st of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Killarney13rd3rd0
2026-08-08WexfordBHA1141st1st0
2026-07-22WexfordBHA1183rd3rd0
2025-12-26Down RoyalBHA1216th6th0
2025-11-29FairyhouseBHA1187th7th0
2025-11-08Gowran ParkBHA1230

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0425/1022/0722/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/04/202514th14/126%7%-0.19
16/06/20254th15/261%63%+0.02
06/08/20252nd6/168%89%+0.20
25/10/202510th25/10%31%+0.31
29/11/20257th18/15%68%+0.63
26/12/20256th13/266%55%-0.11
22/07/20263rd7/163%75%+0.12
08/08/20261st10/147%100%+0.53
22/08/20263rd7/163%78%+0.15