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7

Harbour Highway

7yo Gelding · 11-7 · OR 109

Listowel · John & Terry Moriarty Memorial (Q.R.) Handicap Chase · 2m 7f 180y

#9

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

In good heart over fences for most of the spring, winning an amateur handicap at Leopardstown before twice finishing runner-up. Creditable sixth of 19 back hurdling at Galway (2¾m, good to soft) in July. First-time visor replaces cheekpieces.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C11.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Navan 22/03/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 2m4f Sft 16622/03C8C0 @ Cork 23/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 2m5f50y Yie 166C0 @ Naas 15/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 2m4f40y Hvy 16615/12C?BHA105 @ Punchestown 11/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 105 · 2m6f123y Sft 150 · below its mark11/01/2026 · OR 105 parBHA104 @ Leopardstown 03/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 104 · 2m5f120y Yie 160 · beat its mark03/03/2026 · OR 104 par3/03104OR 104BHA109 @ Kilbeggan 24/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 109 · 2m3f210y Goo 166 · below its mark24/04/2026 · OR 109 parBHA111 @ Limerick 21/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 111 · 3m150y Gd 162 · below its mark21/05/2026 · OR 111 par21/05111OR 111BHA112 @ Roscommon 08/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR 112 · 3m1f24y Sft 140 · below its mark08/06/2026 · OR 112 parBHA110 @ Galway 29/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 19 · OR 110 · 2m6f Gd 166 · below its mark29/07/2026 · OR 110 par29/07110OR 110projClass-projected finish: 4th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-29GalwayBHA1106th6th0
2026-06-30WexfordBHA1110
2026-06-08RoscommonBHA1125th5th0
2026-05-21LimerickBHA1112nd2nd0
2026-04-24KilbegganBHA1092nd2nd0
2026-04-04FairyhouseBHA1100

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0311/0121/0529/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +6.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/03/20255th4/179%33%-0.46
23/11/202510th25/10%36%+0.36
15/12/20257th50/10%25%+0.25
11/01/202610th14/126%25%-0.01
03/03/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
24/04/20262nd12/137%92%+0.55
21/05/20262nd4/179%86%+0.07
08/06/20265th10/147%71%+0.24
29/07/20266th16/116%72%+0.56