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12

Hees Dynamite

8yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 104

Listowel · John & Terry Moriarty Memorial (Q.R.) Handicap Chase · 2m 7f 180y

#13

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

A 5-time winner, including over fences. Good reappearance second of 16 in handicap hurdle at Killarney in July. Down the field at Galway next time but looked back in better form when fifth of 14 returned to Killarney since. Respected off lower chase mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength17%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C10.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA101 @ Killarney 17/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 101 · 2m4f85y Yie 158 · below its mark17/07/2025 · OR 101 par17/07101OR 101BHA101 @ Roscommon 05/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR 101 · 3m Goo 157 · below its mark05/08/2025 · OR 101 parBHA84 @ Killarney 21/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 84 · 2m4f180y Goo 140 · beat its mark21/08/2025 · OR 84 par21/0884OR 84BHA95 @ Listowel 26/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 95 · 2m3f100y Goo 151 · below its mark26/09/2025 · OR 95 parBHA95 @ Galway 26/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 95 · 2m6f111y Yie 151 · beat its mark26/10/2025 · OR 95 par26/1095OR 95BHA100 @ Limerick 18/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 100 · 3m100y Hvy 168 · beat its mark18/11/2025 · OR 100 parBHA110 @ Killarney 17/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR 110 · 2m6f180y Goo 148 · below its mark17/07/2026 · OR 110 par17/07110OR 110BHA112 @ Galway 29/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 19 · OR 112 · 2m6f Gd 168 · below its mark29/07/2026 · OR 112 parBHA112 @ Killarney 22/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 112 · 2m6f80y Goo 146 · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 112 par22/08112OR 112projClass-projected finish: 6th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22KillarneyBHA1125th5th0
2026-07-29GalwayBHA11210th10th0
2026-07-17KillarneyBHA1102nd2nd0
2025-12-29Limerick?0
2025-11-18LimerickBHA1001st1st0
2025-10-26GalwayBHA951st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0726/0917/0722/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend +2.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/07/20253rd11/271%83%+0.12
05/08/20257th8/158%60%+0.02
21/08/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
26/09/20255th6/168%73%+0.05
26/10/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
18/11/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
17/07/20262nd20/10%93%+0.93
29/07/202610th13/266%50%-0.16
22/08/20265th17/255%69%+0.14