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8

Illtakehimmyself

5yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 107

Listowel · John & Terry Moriarty Memorial (Q.R.) Handicap Chase · 2m 7f 180y

#3

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Low-mileage 5-y-o who deservedly got off the mark over hurdles when landing a 15-runner extended 2½m handicap at Killarney in July. Promising start to chase career when fourth of 11 at Killarney (21f, good to soft) last month. Open to improvement and one of 2 likely contenders for Eric McNamara.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength24%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Wexford 27/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 2m100y Yie 15327/10C8C8 @ Thurles 20/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m7f169y Yie 158C8 @ Cork 07/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 19 · OR - · 2m200y Sft 1667/12C8BHA93 @ Limerick 29/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 93 · 2m3f Sft 161 · below its mark29/12/2025 · OR 93 parBHA93 @ Punchestown 13/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 18 · OR 93 · 3m Goo 161 · below its mark13/05/2026 · OR 93 par13/0593OR 93BHA96 @ Listowel 30/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 18 · OR 96 · 2m4f80y Goo 164 · below its mark30/05/2026 · OR 96 parBHA98 @ Limerick 02/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 18 · OR 98 · 2m6f120y Gd 166 · below its mark02/07/2026 · OR 98 par2/0798OR 98BHA100 @ Killarney 16/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 100 · 2m4f85y Goo 168 · beat its mark16/07/2026 · OR 100 parBHA107 @ Killarney 20/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 107 · 2m4f180y Goo 166 · below its mark20/08/2026 · OR 107 par20/08107OR 107projClass-projected finish: 1st of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20KillarneyBHA1074th4th0
2026-07-16KillarneyBHA1001st1st0
2026-07-02LimerickBHA983rd3rd0
2026-05-30ListowelBHA962nd2nd0
2026-05-13PunchestownBHA932nd2nd0
2025-12-29LimerickBHA935th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/1029/122/0720/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength89%

Delivery trend -5.1% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/10/202511th80/10%23%+0.23
20/11/20259th66/10%47%+0.47
07/12/20259th125/10%56%+0.56
29/12/20255th12/137%67%+0.30
13/05/20262nd11/142%94%+0.52
30/05/20262nd16/583%94%+0.11
02/07/20263rd5/287%88%+0.01
16/07/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
20/08/20264th11/271%70%-0.01