6
Mister Pink
8yo Gelding · 11-10 · OR 112
Listowel · John & Terry Moriarty Memorial (Q.R.) Handicap Chase · 2m 7f 180y
#11
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C8.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Wexford | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Punchestown | BHA118 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Limerick | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Wexford | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Cork | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-01-19 | Thurles | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 6-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength28%
Delivery trend +3.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10/2024 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 21/11/2024 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 26/12/2024 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 19/01/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 05/04/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 07/05/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 21/05/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 07/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 30/06/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |