4
Toor Khov
8yo Gelding · 11-11 · OR 113
Listowel · John & Terry Moriarty Memorial (Q.R.) Handicap Chase · 2m 7f 180y
#1
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
66%
Place Prob
50%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C11.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Cork | BHA109 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Cork | BHA108 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Thurles | BHA113 | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-29 | Thurles | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Navan | BHA110 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Cork | BHA112 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength23%
Delivery trend -4.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/12/2024 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 20/04/2025 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 42% | +0.16 |
| 24/09/2025 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 14/10/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 23/11/2025 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 86% | +0.30 |
| 14/12/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 29/01/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 19/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 89% | +0.15 |
| 05/04/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |