4

Distraction

5yo Gelding · 11-7

Listowel · Listowel Printing Works Slan Abhaile (Pro/Am) Flat Race · 2m

#3

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Pulled up on hurdling debut but showed some ability switched to a bumper when sixth of 11 at Tramore (2m, good) in May, albeit possibly flattered having been ignored with one other for much of the race. Shaped as if in need of a stiffer test at Wexford subsequently.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Tramore 29/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 2m Goo 16829/05C?C0 @ Wexford 23/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 2m150y Gd 16823/07C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23Wexford?4th4th0
2026-05-29Tramore?6th6th0
2025-11-23Cork?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0523/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength78%

Delivery trend +5.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/05/20266th12/137%50%+0.13
23/07/20264th8/158%77%+0.19