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Game Shadow

4yo Gelding · 11-12

Listowel · Listowel Printing Works Slan Abhaile (Pro/Am) Flat Race · 2m

#2

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

12%

Place Prob

27%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Tirwanako gelding who shaped best of those from out of the back when fourth of 11 in 2m Tramore bumper on debut for Paul Power in late May. Confirmed that promise when comfortable winner of 4-runner event at Perth (2m) last month but this is tougher.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Tramore 29/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 2m Goo 16229/05C?5 @ Perth 15/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR - · 2m47y Gd 15315/085projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Perth51st1st0
2026-05-29Tramore?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0515/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength72%

Delivery trend -24.6% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/05/20264th12/137%70%+0.33
15/08/20261st13/891%100%+0.09