3

Iron Sword

4yo Gelding · 11-12

Listowel · Listowel Printing Works Slan Abhaile (Pro/Am) Flat Race · 2m

#1

Rank

Odds

4/6

Win Prob

88%

Place Prob

73%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Confirmed previous promise when making all in 5-runner bumper at Ballinrobe (2m, good, 6/5) 15 days ago, kept up to work. Warrants respect under a penalty.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Punchestown 06/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 18 · OR - · 2m100y Goo 1636/06C?C0 @ Roscommon 04/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m7f110y Yie 1644/08C?C0 @ Ballinrobe 11/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 2m5y Goo 15711/09C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Ballinrobe?1st1st0
2026-08-04Roscommon?3rd3rd0
2026-06-06Punchestown?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/064/0811/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +6.2% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/06/20265th10/382%76%-0.06
04/08/20263rd5/287%83%-0.04
11/09/20261st6/594%100%+0.06