2
Muenchen
3yo Gelding · 8-13
Lyon-Parilly · Prix Morel-journel Stakes · 7f 209y
#4
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 1
Class gap: -4.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Deauville | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Vichy | 3 | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Salon-De-Provence | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-22 | Pau | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2025-09-24 | Toulouse | ? | 2nd | 10th | −7 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/2025 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 43% | +0.01 |
| 25/08/2025 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 86% | -0.06 |
| 24/09/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 80% | -0.10 |
| 22/10/2025 | 1st | 3/10 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 17/06/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 02/07/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 20/07/2026 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 30/08/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |