4
Lord Wootton Cen
4yo Colt · 8-11
Lyon-Parilly · Prix De La Pelouse Stakes · 7f 209y
#1
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
35%
Place Prob
41%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.9 /10 (raw 1.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-26 | Chantilly | ? | 2nd | -1th | +2 |
| 2024-09-20 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2024-08-29 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength74%
Delivery trend -8.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/2024 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 20/09/2024 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 26/10/2024 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |